Spurs vs. Timberwolves: Game 3 Preview and Predictions

The San Antonio Spurs faced off against the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 3 of their Western Conference semifinal matchup on May 8, 2026. The second-seeded Spurs aimed to take control of the best-of-seven series after leveling it at 1-1 with a decisive 133-95 win in Game 2. The game was set to tip off at 9:30 p.m. ET at the Target Center in Minneapolis.

Anthony Edwards was available for the Timberwolves despite dealing with a knee injury, while Ayo Dosunmu was listed as questionable due to a heel issue. According to FanDuel Sportsbook, the Spurs were 5.5-point favorites heading into the matchup, with an over/under set at 216.5 total points.

SportsLine’s projection model, which has a notable track record of success, simulated the game 10,000 times and provided insights into betting predictions. This model has reportedly generated over $10,000 in profit for $100 bettors on its top-rated NBA picks over the last eight seasons, entering the second round of the playoffs with a strong 26-9 record (74%) on these picks.

The model suggested that the total points scored would fall below the 216.5 line, noting that the Under had hit in five of the last seven Spurs games and in four of the last six Timberwolves games. It projected that the teams would combine for a total of 211 points, making the Under a compelling option for bettors. Victor Wembanyama was expected to lead the Spurs with an average of 23.3 points, while Edwards would lead the Timberwolves with 20.5 points. Only two players from Minnesota were anticipated to score over 14 points.

The betting lines entering the game included a spread of Spurs -5.5 and a money line of Spurs -214 and Timberwolves +177. This matchup was highly anticipated in the playoff season as both teams vied for a significant lead in the series.