2027 NFL Draft Shock Meter: Possible Returns for Top QBs

The 2027 NFL Draft is shaping up to be quite unpredictable, especially regarding the potential returns of top quarterbacks Julian Sayin and Dante Moore. As of now, the anticipation has grown over whether these high-profile players might opt to remain in college rather than declare for the draft. Last year, the quarterback class was viewed as a group that could not be overlooked, but recent performances have painted a different picture, making it unclear who will declare this coming offseason.

Previously, CBS Sports' Mike Renner shared a mock draft that notably excluded key names like Sayin, Moore, CJ Carr, and LaNorris Sellers, alluding to the possibility that they might return to their respective schools for another season. Such a decision by these athletes could significantly alter the quality of the upcoming draft class. Given the financial stakes associated with the NFL Draft, many players are contemplating the benefits of enhancing their skills further in college.

Additionally, various players received an extra year of eligibility over the offseason, complicating matters further. It leads to a discussion about how surprising it would be if notable quarterback prospects chose to return to school. In the evaluations, a score of 1 on the shock meter indicates it would not be surprising for a player to make that choice, while a 10 reflects a shocking decision to decline the draft.

Dante Moore (Oregon)
Moore's situation has been particularly rife with speculation following a severe head injury sustained against USC. Fortunately, he has shown no lasting effects from that injury and is expected to recover fully soon. However, returning to school presents challenges. Despite still being regarded as a first-round prospect, another season without notable improvements could lead to fatigue in his prospects. Furthermore, Oregon has another strong quarterback option, Dylan Raiola, who performed well in Moore’s absence. If Moore chooses to return, it could put Oregon's coaching staff in a difficult position, making a declaration seem like the best option for everyone involved. Shock level if they return: 10/10.

Julian Sayin (Ohio State)
Sayin is another complex case, given the interplay with star receiver Jeremiah Smith. Having one of the most efficient completion rates in college football history at 75%, with a record of 43 touchdowns to just nine interceptions, Sayin has a strong argument for declaring but still remains tough to predict. His decision will likely hinge on whether he can bolster his draft stock further by proving he can excel without Smith. Should these quarterbacks remain in school, it could have significant implications for both their careers and the upcoming NFL Draft.